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A Mild Weekend With An Eye On 3 Storms

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By Katie Fehlinger

PHILADELPHIA (CBS) — Despite a duo of nearby disturbances, Delaware Valley residents can look forward to a pretty quiet (and MILD!) weekend. Ironically, the mildest day of the next 7 comes on Sunday, which of course marks the first ever cold weather Super Bowl.

However, the first full week of February may have several significant doses of precipitation up its sleeve.

Here’s a look at our current thinking on several weather events for the week ahead:

Monday Snow?
An area of low pressure is set to develop on the tail of the cold front that crosses our area Super Bowl Sunday. That system has the potential to deliver a fresh round of snow during the daylight hours Monday February 3rd, especially south of Philadelphia.

Heavy Rain Wednesday:
By midweek, a new storm will be brewing in the Deep South. Eventually it moves into our area late Tuesday night into Wednesday (February 4th-5th). I could see this system starting off with a little ice as it arrives – all dependent on the temperature profile. However, the legacy this system leaves behind will likely be heavy rain. In tandem with any snow melt, even an inch of rain could trigger flooding issues as well.

Big Weekend Storm?
Heard the rumors yet? Model guidance has continued to suggest another large storm for the weekend of February 8th-9th. It’s always tough to pinpoint any specifics more than a week out, and the timing on this one is waffling.

Here’s a brief comparison of the latest runs from two of our most trusted weather models:

The GFS brings in a wintry mix for the second half of Saturday, followed by heavy rain into Sunday, then a grand finale with some snow to wrap up the weekend.

The European model ushers this storm in sooner, suggesting the storm arrives during the PM hours Friday, February 7th with snow across the northern half of our region, and a wintry mix to the south. By Saturday, the Delaware Valley is still split in two with snow to the northwest and rain to the southeast. This solution eventually pulls the storm away with just leftover snow showers on Sunday.

***Important to note, everything is subject to change with time when it comes to weather, and I can guarantee we’ll see many different solutions from the models before we can zero in on what will actually happen!

That said, we’ll let you know the latest as things evolve. In the meantime, enjoy the brief warm up this weekend!

Katie