Analysis: A Few Surprises For Candidates In Two Local Races

(CBS) - Two local political races are headed into the final stretch of Campaign 2010 with some surprises.

In Bucks County, a rematch from 2006 between ex-congressman Republican Mike Fitzpatrick and Democrat Patrick Murphy. Insiders in both campaigns sense a tightening race. Democratic sources tell us Fitzpatrick is ahead but Murphy has tightened the margin. Murphy insiders believe they will do well in the Northeast Philadelphia section of the district but their biggest challenge will be Bucks County, which Fitzpatrick won in 2006.

In the 3rd district of South Jersey, incumbent Democrat John Adler is ahead in most polls but both parties concede it is a tight race between Adler and Republican Jon Runyan. Adler's insiders say he is resisting the anti-incumbent tide and the campaign is on course. Runyan's top advisers say he is within striking distance and that there is a Republican tide. They believe the state of the economy will put the former Eagle over the top.

Reported by Larry Kane, KYW Newsradio