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Analysis: Dems Need Big Wins In Philly To Have A Shot This Fall

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(CBS) – With Election Day right around the corner, desperation has already arrived for some local candidates.

Voters head to the polls in exactly four weeks, but the Republicans are claiming that they have an advantage in absentee ballots in Pennsylvania. They say 47-percent of requests for absentee ballots in Pa. are coming from Republicans, opposed to 41-percent from Democrats. Of course, no one knows how the absentees will vote.

Democrats are pumped up that President Obama will rally on Sunday in Germantown, although county chair persons were hoping he would visit the suburbs — especially Bucks County where Congressman Patrick Murphy is fighting for political survival.

The battle for Arlen Specter’s senate seat heats up. Joe Sestak’s campaign is trying to close an average survey deficit of six to nine points against Republican Pat Toomey.

Despite suburban hopes, the facts are clear, statewide Democrats like Sestak and gubernatorial candidate Dan Onorato, who is up against Republican Tom Corbett, need a 300,000 plurality in Philadelphia to have a chance.

In South Jersey, money is pouring in quickly to the John Adler campaign, the incumbent Democrat is trying to fend off his Republican opponent Jon Runyan.

Reported By Larry Kane, KYW Newsradio

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