PHILADELPHIA (CBS) – For the first time in years, a baseball season starts without the Phillies as favorites to win the National League East. Here’s what people across the country are saying about the Phillies in 2013:

Bovada says the Phillies over/under number for wins is 84.5, they are 16/1 to win the World Series, 7/1 to win the National League Pennant, and 3-1 to win the National League East.

Scott Miller of CBS Sports says that the Phillies will finish 3rd in the NL East, and “erosion is in full force.”

Matt Snyder of CBS Sports has the Phillies 15th in his opening power rankings, and says that the “window is closing pretty rapidly.”

Dan Szymborski of ESPN simulated the season 1,000,000 times, and says the Phillies are likely to finish 82-80, with a 10.9% chance to win the division, and a 28.8% chance of making the playoffs.

Keith Law of ESPN says that the Phillies look “old and slow,” and will finish 79-83.

The staff of Crashburn Alley has the Phillies finishing 2nd and 3rd in the division, depending on the writer.

Albert Chen of Sports Illustrated says that the Phillies are his surprise team, and could make a run.

KYW’s Matt Leon looks ahead to the season with Chris Wheeler:

Former Phillies pitcher Curt Schilling predicted that Ryan Howard will win the NL MVP.

Grantland’s Jonah Keri says that if things break right, the Phillies could win 90 games and take back a piece of their glory days, if they break wrong they could turn in another .500ish season, or worse.

Finger, Seidman and  Wisniewski of Beerleager all have the Phillies in the playoffs, and are split on whether Charlie Manuel will return in 2014.

And Corey Seidman in his piece for CSN Philly says the Phillies will make the playoffs as the first Wild Card.

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