Porter: 3 NFL Over/Under Win Total Locks
PHILADELPHIA (CBS) -- One of my favorite things to do is to project the over/under win total of every NFL team in June.
On Wednesday, when Bovada LV (full over/under's listed below) released their 2015 NFL win total numbers, that's exactly what I did. These three of them, however, are my locks.
Atlanta Falcons: Under 8.5 wins
Bill Belichick went 5-11 in his first season as head coach of the Patriots. Same with Andy Reid, in Philadelphia. Pete Carroll went 7-9 in his first season as head coach of the Seahawks. Bill Parcells went 3-12-1 in his first year as New York Giants head coach.
Dan Quinn is a first-year head coach taking over a putrid 6-10 Atlanta Falcons team, a team that finished dead last in yards allowed (6,372) and yards allowed per game (398.3).
While Atlanta did add some defensive talent in free-agency and they do compete in a potentially weak NFC South division, the Falcons are not a winning football team.
Dallas Cowboys: Under 9.5 wins
Simply, The Dallas Cowboys over-achieved in 2014.
The injury-prone Tony Romo, 35, and his back isn't getting any younger. Also, people are underrated the loss of DeMarco Murray. Handing the ball off 392 times to the NFL's rushing leader is a nice luxury to have.
Lastly, the NFC East is arguably the toughest division in football. The Giants (over/under 8.5 wins) are expected to have a bounce back season and even the Redskins (over/under 6.5 wins) are dangerous for a projected last-placed team.
Houston Texans: Over 8.5 wins
Bill O'Brien. I trust him like I trust Chip Kelly, and you'll see what I mean when this season of HBO's Hard Knocks airs in August.
O'Brien lead the Texans to a winning season, 9-7, in year one (we saw how hard that is earlier in this piece with Belichick, Carroll, etc.). Now, with first overall pick Jadeveon Clowney expected to contribute, the addition of QB Brian Hoyer, one of the NFL's top defenses with the NFL's best defensive player in J.J. Watt, and a very solid draft class, the Texans are poised to win at least nine games in a division that contains the lowly Jaguars and Titans.
All of the NFL win total over/under's per Bovada LV below:
2015 Over/Under Win Totals (Note: If odds are the same on both sides, there are no odds listed)
Arizona Cardinals - 2014 Regular Season Win Total
Over 8½ (-130, 10/13)
Under 8½ (EVEN, 1/1)
Atlanta Falcons - 2014 Regular Season Win Total
Over 8½ (EVEN, 1/1)
Under 8½ (-130, 10/13)
Baltimore Ravens - 2014 Regular Season Win Total
Over/Under 9
Buffalo Bills - 2014 Regular Season Win Total
Over 8½ (-130, 10/13)
Under 8½ (EVEN, 1/1)
Carolina Panthers - 2014 Regular Season Win Total
Over 8½ (+110, 11/10)
Under 8½ (-140, 5/7)
Chicago Bears - 2014 Regular Season Win Total
Over 7 (+120, 6/5)
Under 7 (-150, 2/3)
Cincinnati Bengals - 2014 Regular Season Win Total
Over 8½ (-130, 13/10)
Under 8½ (EVEN, 1/1)
Cleveland Browns - 2014 Regular Season Win Total
Over 6½ (EVEN, 1/1)
Under 6½ (-130, 10/13)
Dallas Cowboys - 2014 Regular Season Win Total
Over 9½ (-130, 10/13)
Under 9½ (EVEN, 1/1)
Denver Broncos - 2014 Regular Season Win Total
Over 10 (-130, 10/13)
Under 10 (EVEN, 1/1)
Detroit Lions - 2014 Regular Season Win Total
Over 8 (-130, 10/13)
Under 8 (EVEN, 1/1)
Green Bay Packers - 2014 Regular Season Win Total
Over 11 (EVEN, 1/1)
Under 11 (-130, 10/13)
Houston Texans - 2014 Regular Season Win Total
Over 8½ (EVEN, 1/1)
Under 8½ (-130, 10/13)
Indianapolis Colts - 2014 Regular Season Win Total
Over 11 (-130, 10/13)
Under 11 (EVEN, 1/1)
Jacksonville Jaguars - 2014 Regular Season Win Total
Over 5½ (-150, 2/3)
Under 5½ (+120, 6/5)
Kansas City Chiefs - 2014 Regular Season Win Total
Over 8½ (-130, 10/13)
Under 8½ (EVEN, 1/1)
Miami Dolphins - 2014 Regular Season Win Total
Over 8½ (-150, 2/3)
Under 8½ (+120, 6/5)
Minnesota Vikings - 2014 Regular Season Win Total
Over/Under 7½
New England Patriots - 2014 Regular Season Win Total
Over/Under 10 ½
New Orleans Saints - 2014 Regular Season Win Total
Over 8½ (-130, 10/13)
Under 8½ (EVEN, 1/1)
New York Giants - 2014 Regular Season Win Total
Over/Under 8½
New York Jets - 2014 Regular Season Win Total
Over 7½ (-150, 2/3)
Under 7½ (+120, 6/5)
Oakland Raiders - 2014 Regular Season Win Total
Over 5½ (EVEN, 1/1)
Under 5½ (-130, 10/13)
Philadelphia Eagles - 2014 Regular Season Win Total
Over 9½ (EVEN, 1/1)
Under 9½ (-130, 10/13)
Pittsburgh Steelers - 2014 Regular Season Win Total
Over 8½ (-130, 10/13)
Under 8½ (EVEN, 1/1)
San Diego Chargers - 2014 Regular Season Win Total
Over 8 (-130, 10/13)
Under 8 (EVEN, 1/1)
San Francisco 49ers - 2014 Regular Season Win Total
Over 7½ (+120, 6/5)
Under 7½ (-150, 2/3)
Seattle Seahawks - 2014 Regular Season Win Total
Over 11 (-130, 10/13)
Under 11 (EVEN, 1/1)
St. Louis Rams - 2014 Regular Season Win Total
Over 8 (EVEN, 1/1)
Under 8 (-130, 10/13)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers - 2014 Regular Season Win Total
Over 6 (EVEN, 1/1)
Under 6 (-130, 10/13)
Tennessee Titans - 2014 Regular Season Win Total
Over 5½ (-130, 10/13)
Under 5½ (EVEN, 1/1)
Washington Redskins - 2014 Regular Season Win Total
Over 6½ (+120, 6/5)
Under 6½ (-150, 2/3)