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Porter: 3 NFL Over/Under Win Total Locks

By Andrew Porter

PHILADELPHIA (CBS) -- One of my favorite things to do is to project the over/under win total of every NFL team in June.

On Wednesday, when Bovada LV (full over/under's listed below) released their 2015 NFL win total numbers, that's exactly what I did. These three of them, however, are my locks.

 

Atlanta Falcons: Under 8.5 wins

Cleveland Browns v Atlanta Falcons
(Photo by Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images)

Bill Belichick went 5-11 in his first season as head coach of the Patriots. Same with Andy Reid, in Philadelphia. Pete Carroll went 7-9 in his first season as head coach of the Seahawks. Bill Parcells went 3-12-1 in his first year as New York Giants head coach.

Dan Quinn is a first-year head coach taking over a putrid 6-10 Atlanta Falcons team, a team that finished dead last in yards allowed (6,372) and yards allowed per game (398.3).

While Atlanta did add some defensive talent in free-agency and they do compete in a potentially weak NFC South division, the Falcons are not a winning football team.

Dallas Cowboys: Under 9.5 wins

Tony Romo
ARLINGTON, TX - JANUARY 04: Quarterback Tony Romo #9 of the Dallas Cowboys celebrates with head coach Jason Garrett of the Dallas Cowboys after the Cowboys beat the Detroit Lions 24-20 during a NFC Wild Card Playoff game at AT&T Stadium on January 4, 2015 in Arlington, Texas. (Photo by Tom Pennington/Getty Images)

Simply, The Dallas Cowboys over-achieved in 2014.

The injury-prone Tony Romo, 35, and his back isn't getting any younger. Also, people are underrated the loss of DeMarco Murray. Handing the ball off 392 times to the NFL's rushing leader is a nice luxury to have.

Lastly, the NFC East is arguably the toughest division in football. The Giants (over/under 8.5 wins) are expected to have a bounce back season and even the Redskins (over/under 6.5 wins) are dangerous for a projected last-placed team.

Houston Texans: Over 8.5 wins

Bill O'Brien
NASHVILLE, TN - OCTOBER 26: Head Coach Bill O'Brien of the Houston Texans watches a replay during a game against the Tennessee Titans at LP Field on October 26, 2014 in Nashville, Tennessee. The Texans defeated the Titans 30-16. (Photo by Wesley Hitt/Getty Images)

Bill O'Brien. I trust him like I trust Chip Kelly, and you'll see what I mean when this season of HBO's Hard Knocks airs in August.

O'Brien lead the Texans to a winning season, 9-7, in year one (we saw how hard that is earlier in this piece with Belichick, Carroll, etc.). Now, with first overall pick Jadeveon Clowney expected to contribute, the addition of QB Brian Hoyer, one of the NFL's top defenses with the NFL's best defensive player in J.J. Watt, and a very solid draft class, the Texans are poised to win at least nine games in a division that contains the lowly Jaguars and Titans.

 

All of the NFL win total over/under's per Bovada LV below:

 

2015 Over/Under Win Totals (Note: If odds are the same on both sides, there are no odds listed)

Arizona Cardinals - 2014 Regular Season Win Total         

Over                                         8½ (-130, 10/13)

Under                                       8½ (EVEN, 1/1)

 

Atlanta Falcons - 2014 Regular Season Win Total              

Over                                         8½ (EVEN, 1/1)

Under                                       8½  (-130, 10/13)

 

Baltimore Ravens - 2014 Regular Season Win Total         

Over/Under                               9

 

Buffalo Bills - 2014 Regular Season Win Total    

Over                                         8½ (-130, 10/13)

Under                                       8½  (EVEN, 1/1)

 

Carolina Panthers - 2014 Regular Season Win Total         

Over                                         8½ (+110, 11/10)

Under                                       8½  (-140, 5/7)

 

Chicago Bears - 2014 Regular Season Win Total 

Over                                         7 (+120, 6/5)

Under                                       7  (-150, 2/3)

 

Cincinnati Bengals - 2014 Regular Season Win Total       

Over                                         8½  (-130, 13/10)

Under                                       8½ (EVEN, 1/1)

 

Cleveland Browns - 2014 Regular Season Win Total        

Over                                         6½ (EVEN, 1/1)

Under                                       6½ (-130, 10/13)

 

Dallas Cowboys - 2014 Regular Season Win Total             

Over                                         9½  (-130, 10/13)

Under                                       9½ (EVEN, 1/1)

 

Denver Broncos - 2014 Regular Season Win Total             

Over                                         10  (-130, 10/13)

Under                                       10 (EVEN, 1/1)

 

Detroit Lions - 2014 Regular Season Win Total   

Over                                         8 (-130, 10/13)

Under                                       8 (EVEN, 1/1)

 

Green Bay Packers - 2014 Regular Season Win Total       

Over                                         11 (EVEN, 1/1)

Under                                       11 (-130, 10/13)

 

Houston Texans - 2014 Regular Season Win Total            

Over                                         8½ (EVEN, 1/1)

Under                                       8½ (-130, 10/13)

 

Indianapolis Colts - 2014 Regular Season Win Total        

Over                                         11  (-130, 10/13)

Under                                       11 (EVEN, 1/1)

 

Jacksonville Jaguars - 2014 Regular Season Win Total    

Over                                         5½  (-150, 2/3)

Under                                       5½ (+120, 6/5)

 

Kansas City Chiefs - 2014 Regular Season Win Total        

Over                                         8½  (-130, 10/13)

Under                                       8½ (EVEN, 1/1)

 

Miami Dolphins - 2014 Regular Season Win Total             

Over                                         8½  (-150, 2/3)

Under                                       8½ (+120, 6/5)

 

Minnesota Vikings - 2014 Regular Season Win Total       

Over/Under                               7½

 

New England Patriots - 2014 Regular Season Win Total 

Over/Under                               10 ½

 

New Orleans Saints - 2014 Regular Season Win Total     

Over                                         8½ (-130, 10/13)

Under                                       8½ (EVEN, 1/1)

 

New York Giants - 2014 Regular Season Win Total           

Over/Under                               8½

 

New York Jets - 2014 Regular Season Win Total

Over                                         7½  (-150, 2/3)

Under                                       7½ (+120, 6/5)

 

Oakland Raiders - 2014 Regular Season Win Total            

Over                                         5½ (EVEN, 1/1)

Under                                       5½ (-130, 10/13)

 

Philadelphia Eagles - 2014 Regular Season Win Total     

Over                                         9½ (EVEN, 1/1)

Under                                       9½ (-130, 10/13)

 

Pittsburgh Steelers - 2014 Regular Season Win Total      

Over                                         8½ (-130, 10/13)

Under                                       8½ (EVEN, 1/1)

 

San Diego Chargers - 2014 Regular Season Win Total      

Over                                         8  (-130, 10/13)

Under                                       8 (EVEN, 1/1)

 

San Francisco 49ers - 2014 Regular Season Win Total      

Over                                         7½ (+120, 6/5)

Under                                       7½  (-150, 2/3)

 

Seattle Seahawks - 2014 Regular Season Win Total         

Over                                         11  (-130, 10/13)

Under                                       11 (EVEN, 1/1)

 

St. Louis Rams - 2014 Regular Season Win Total

Over                                         8 (EVEN, 1/1)

Under                                       8 (-130, 10/13)

 

Tampa Bay Buccaneers - 2014 Regular Season Win Total               

Over                                         6 (EVEN, 1/1)

Under                                       6 (-130, 10/13)

 

Tennessee Titans - 2014 Regular Season Win Total         

Over                                         5½ (-130, 10/13)

Under                                       5½ (EVEN, 1/1)

 

Washington Redskins - 2014 Regular Season Win Total 

Over                                         6½ (+120, 6/5)

Under                                       6½  (-150, 2/3)

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